I could also see him (with MLB time from 21-26) getting in on a Veterans Committee vote. Alexei Ramirez low-900s age 22-24 in Cuba, .792 first year, .700 overall in MLB. In the South Florida Collegiate League, he struck out 42 in 28 innings and featured a fastball up to 98 mph. In his free time, he writes for The Hardball Times, speaks about baseball research and analytics, has consulted for a Major League Baseball team, and has appeared on MLB Network's Clubhouse Confidential as well as several MLB-produced documentaries. Another step forward could put him among the countrys top arms in terms of strikeouts. That, when applied to what I believe is a fair evaluation for foreign players who come to the U.S. at advanced ages, puts him squarely behind even a large hall standard. However, Team Korea has made sure to fill the roster with some of the best defensive players in the country, particularly ones who grade out as MLB average or better. But we're still waiting for the workaholic right-hander in the Yankees pinstripes to have his first genuinely dominant season. 12 UCLA past Sacramento State, 3-2, on This is conjecture without the facts to back it up. His fastball sits in the low 90s but has been up to 96 mph as part of a quality four-pitch mix. The lowest percentage the league has ever seen was in 2010, when only Joe Mauer, Jeff Keppinger, Daric Barton, and Albert Pujols pulled it off (3% of all qualified hitters). as well as the sharp increase in strikeout rates starting around the 1992 season. Second, as with the rise of TTO players, strikeout rates seem to be the driving force. Large caveats obviously apply, but there is at least a reason to think he had a good HOF case. WebWalter Johnson set the Major League record for most consecutive seasons (1912 through 1919) leading any league in strikeouts, but Randy Johnson deserves a plug for stringing four consecutive seasons in the American League (1992 through 1995) then four more in the National League (1999 through 2002) four years after he did it in the junior circuit. Like his Big Ten counterpart Hajjar, Burke missed 2019 due to injury and burst onto the scene with authority in 2020, striking out 35 hitters in 22.2 innings to lead all freshman pitchers. In his rookie season Kang set his career highs in home runs (29) and strikeouts (124), but since then has traded some home run power for more contact and gap power. Unfortunately, his performance in 2022 doesnt leave much room for optimism. His bat was mediocre, his power was lacking, his baserunning was poor, and his defense was lousy in other words, his toolbox was empty. Data Provided By Maybe stop whining and start defending your asinine positions? Charleston RiverDogs (Rays A), 82-38, .683 3. Leo is a writer for FanGraphs and an editor for Just Baseball. On the other hand, due to injury, he has only pitched in three games since the end of that season. Early returns are good, as he struck out 26 in 19.1 innings as a freshman in 2020. Bill leads Predictive Modeling and Data Science consulting at Gallup. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. "I know they're loaded. In your world 31.2 is more than double 21.9. Durham Bulls (Rays AAA) 86-44, .662 4. And I personally dont believe large assumptions should be made in this type of case. ZIPS also is far less generous in its translations than Davenport is. Because you got me looking at it, if you order their seasons by wRC+ over 130 (ignoring their 2020 MVP years) between Abreu and Freeman it goes. WebTriples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances farther than third base on an error or a fielder's attempt to put out another baserunner. and he had a .964 OPS in his first season over. And of course McGriff had his top 3 seasons by WAR in 88-90 (in MLB) and also had more WAR post-35 than Abreu is likely to achieve. Nolan Ryan holds the Major League record for career strikeouts (click the link to see the top one-hundred) with five-thousand seven-hundred fourteen and with a hundred twenty-five plus years he still remains the only pitcher in history with more than five-thousand career strikeouts. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. Due to a variety of injuries, deGrom has only been able to make 26 starts over the previous two seasons, but when he has pitched, he has been as outstanding as ever, posting a 1.90 ERA. However, if we look at those hitters with the most seasons of BB% > K% we do manage to find decent representation from a number of eras: I knew Yastrzemski was good, but I never would have guessed that he would have the most seasons with a higher walk than strikeout rate. Then, in 2021, Gurriel made a notable effort to improve his plate discipline without sacrificing contact. Its really remarkable that you seem to think youve made any real point while being the stupidest person to ever post here. HOU Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. He was by no means a lock as a HOF case, but he made it in. Yet the problem was more localized than that. His supporters think that during the three year run where he hit 98 bombs in 232 games (A 68.4/162 pace) while batting .412 BA with a .561 OBP, he was probably closer to his age-27 form (.313/.383/.581, after a yearlong layoff following his defection) than the .289/.375/.472 line Freeman put up at the same ages. However, Yang really shines in the batters box. Sat, Mar 11 2 p.m. We break down the top 25 candidates. His baserunning is similar, as he is a good baserunner due to his natural athleticism, but does not have elite speed or base stealing ability. You think its unlikely. What is particularly impressive about Mantiply, though, is that literally every There actually is a lot of precedent for letting people in, even though their numbers werent up to the standard, because they were barred from joining in one way or another. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. He has been in the top three in the KBO in strikeouts in each of the last three seasons. March 1, 2023. Now 36 years old, Park is still hitting the ball hard as he led the KBO in hard hit rate last year at 41%, while also finishing second in average exit velocity (just under 90 MPH) and sixth in average launch angle (just over 18 degrees). Story Links. Web[8] Active pitchers with 1,700 strikeouts (stats updated through 2022): Gerrit Cole (1,930) - 257 in 2022 Johnny Cueto (1,812) - 102 in 2022 Yu Darvish (1,788) - 197 in 2022 Anbal I assume the next taek will be Why does anyone think he would have been better than Aaron Judge from 21-24, when he was way worse from 27-30???????. This list is about half HOFers and the stretch around Gurriel illustrates that he likely would have been a guy who is at least in the conversation. Home He only has 1 season over 5 fWAR and unlike Gurriel he played his traditional peak years in MLB. He posted a career-high contact rate and a career-low swinging strike rate. You really are shook that there is one person here that will stand up to your juvenile bullying and Gish Gallup style arguments. Combining that with his good raw power (hes in the top 25 in average exit velocity and hard hit rate) allows him to maximize his power output. Just a real lack of context. The veteran Park is a much better defender, and won the KBO Fielding Bible Award at first base this past season. For comparison, the league average was 131. Choi ranks 17th in KBO history in hits and is second all-time in home runs. He has not done anything to suggest that we actually did miss one of the great hitters of all time because he was stuck in Cuba. I then included the strikeout, walk, and home run rates for each season as well to see if they helped explain the trends we see. Likely wouldnt have kept up the pace over 162, 350 BABIP (.327 career) and 32.8 HR/FB% (18.7% career). You can follow him on Twitter @morgenstenmlb. Helps me be friendly and charming in real life! Batting Average Allowed Justin Verlander. SB:Belbin, Jarrod1; Halstead, Tyler1; Howard, Payton1; Harrill, Lawson1 Louisiana BATTING: 2B:Kyle DeBarge 1; Julian Brock 1 RBI:Heath Hood 1; Mason Zambo 2; Trey LaFleur 1; Luke Yuhasz 1; Lee Amedee 1 SF:Trey LaFleur 1 BASERUNNING: RUNS:Kyle DeBarge 1; Carson Roccaforte 1; Heath Hood 2; Julian Brock 1; Luke Yuhasz 1 Cannon is in a similar place to Savino in that hes thrown just 11.1 innings at the college level, with his potential far outpacing his results due to the 2020 season cancellation. Its a tough ask for a freshman to come in and start dominating ACC hitters as a freshman, but those are the kind of raw materials that can allow a first-year pitcher to do so. KANSAS CITY, Mo. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, 6. Only 21 went for extra bases. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. All rights reserved. I assume the next thing you say will be incredibly stupid (such as pretending Cuba and Japan are the same, I mean, seriously? Four of 2022s five ERA leaders (Justin Verlander, Julio Uras, Dylan Cease, Alek Manoah) among starters with a minimum 130 IP had a +39% flyball rate and a Most teams with room for a veteran first base bat have already found their guy: the Reds nabbed Wil Myers, the Cubs picked Eric Hosmer, and the Athletics took a chance on Jess Aguilar. He still possesses elite contact skills, but those skills are far less valuable when hes swinging at worse pitches and hitting without thump. I should add that the only reason he ranks just behind McGriff is because McGriffs age 27 season was in 1991 so wasnt captured here. .200-.250 OPS seems like the gap between the CNS and the MLB (Rusney Castillo is at .202, Gurriel is at .248). Coming off a .319 batting average, Fletcher doesnt seem so bold, but ATC is only projecting a .283 mark this year, and they are He could take a spot on the bench, displacing David Hensley, but Gurriel would likely prefer more guaranteed playing time and the Astros might prefer to see what Hensley has to offer. This past winter, Rodon decided to forego the final year of his deal with the San Francisco Giants. To a neutral observer, Barco might appear to be third in a potential Florida rotation that would include veteran righthanders Tommy Mace and Jack Leftwich, but his stuff makes him the most likely of the three to pile up massive strikeout numbers. Counting them is much harder and requires more guesswork, of course. Stony Brook 4 Troy 9 Baseball vs Stony Brook February 24, 2023 2 p.m. Walter Johnson set the Major League record for most consecutive seasons (1912 through 1919) leading any league in strikeouts, but Randy Johnson deserves a plug for stringing four consecutive seasons in the American League (1992 through 1995) then four more in the National League (1999 through 2002) four years after he did it in the junior circuit. Park will likely line up at first base for Team Korea, with fellow KT Wiz teammate Baek-ho Kang will likely be the DH. In 2011, only 6% managed the feat. For example, his 2010-11 translated to .358/.468/.754. Yeah, the Cuban #s is the rub. As for Abreu, the 20 WAR from ages 21-26 would pretty much just be him playing at his age 28-35 (so excluding his big rookie year) level. Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. Lets not forget that as a DH playing for the White Sox, he only needs to reach 38.8 WAR to get into the Hall. Prielipp never got his chance to prove himself against SEC competition, but if his debut is any indication, hell be able to hold his own. I mean, you cant possibly be making a case for Abreu no using rWAR, or are you just so shook realizing how right I am and how much of an imbecile you are? Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. His time in the U.S., only measured against players the same age, suggests hes not a hall of famer. Between the injuries Kang struggled to produce at the plate for the first time in his career, posting career lows in many categories in his statline. The argument for trying to count these numbers is that Cuban players were prevented from playing MLB for reasons beyond their control. If you eliminate the 2016 season when he signed in July after defecting in February and was in the bigs 2 weeks later. Because of an injury in 2019 and the season cancellation in 2020, Hill has thrown just 21.2 innings over two seasons at LSU, but he has struck out 28 in those innings. The only significant factor that is uncertain in this situation is health. So, conservatively, he would be Freddie Freeman, except for the whole thing where Freeman has been much better from age 27 onward. Abreus HoF case rests on the assumption that he ISNT a massive outlier like Freddie Freeman, and his ability followed normal aging curves rather than becoming a completely different hitter and player at age 26. Triples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances [8] Farm system [ edit] [9] Notes [ edit] ^ Hank Sauer at Baseball-Reference ^ Manny Mota at Baseball-Reference ^ Hoyt Wilhelm at Baseball-Reference ^ Bill Sarni at Baseball-Reference ^ John Orsino at Baseball-Reference ^ Ray Katt at Baseball-Reference His first-pitch strike percentage was better than average for the very first time. Unfortunately hes likely to just done now. At the plate, Rutschmans batting eye is extremely sharp, as evidenced by his 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout rate. Im not sure either Gurriel or Abreu have the career numbers to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, but lets make sure were considering all the times they played this grand game. You know who does? Ever wonder who had the most strikeouts the year you were born? Simply speaking, Mantiply has become the epitome of control. Lee is the best pure hitter in the KBO, with a career batting average of .342 and more career walks than strikeouts. After turning in an outstanding freshman season in 2019, Boone appeared to take a step forward in 2020, striking out 13.08 batters per nine innings after punching out 8.89 per nine innings as a freshman. With strikeouts becoming soprevalent and walk rates essentially fluctuating between 8-10% each year, its very hard for a player (particularly a good one who typically displays quite a bit of power) to end the season with more walks than strikeouts. The first is, Joining Lee in the heart of the lineup will be KT Wiz first baseman, Despite his strong performances in the KBO, there are some storylines worth following with Kang in the WBC. Batting Average David Fletcher. Narrator: TKDC continued whining, while offering no defense to claims like I think Javier Vazquez was better than Cole Hamels, regardless of how much data indicates that pitchers DO impact batted ball outcomes!!!!!. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. The other is that he was making strides as the 2020 season came to an end, with his best start being his last. Felt like he wouldve had a Vlad type of career. Kumar Rocker, RHP, Vanderbilt. Shit, if you knock the same OPS number off Abreus 20-25 seasons as the career gap between Yulis MLB and Serie Nacional numbers, it comes out to a .999 OPS. Gurriels swing and o-swing rates jumped back up to where they once were. Was it because MLB pitchers got a better scouting report on him and were able to better exploit his weaknesses and turn him from a great hitter to merely a very good hitter, or was it because his peak was over by age 28 and the rest of his career was his decline phase? Byung-ho Park is one of the few names you might know. Be the first one to comment on this story. Note: A bold faced entry denotes that the player was active during the previous Major League season. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Despite his strong performances in the KBO, there are some storylines worth following with Kang in the WBC. Last season, he struck out 28 in just 15 innings of work, and hell go into next season with a repertoire that includes an improved changeup and a fourth pitch, a cutter. Do some soul searching on why you continue to be so insufferable? What Ivan is alluding to is that if Yuli had been able to get out and join an MLB roster in his 20s, he probably would have had a case for the HoF. Strikeouts AL/MLB: Robbie Ray (TOR), 248 Ray is the third Blue Jays pitcher to claim an AL strikeout title, joining A.J. ), because youre obviously incapable of anything else.
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